Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 13.489018 15.761702 18.241848 21.141728 24.431341 28.038960 32.286306
2025-05-11 9.499435 12.544898 16.218997 20.940047 26.803535 33.801719 42.736645
2025-05-18 7.102117 10.362285 14.624590 20.520017 28.364211 38.332993 51.831924
2025-05-25 5.507212 8.764779 13.328263 20.043543 29.500189 42.143585 60.083817
2025-06-01 4.364316 7.519962 12.224916 19.538613 30.358977 45.467806 67.769767
2025-06-08 3.391650 6.314806 10.942869 18.520546 30.259162 47.317621 73.416494
2025-06-15 3.009625 5.973815 10.902723 19.317213 32.836433 53.106557 84.993576
2025-06-22 2.618975 5.536955 10.626875 19.672851 34.719887 57.954896 95.466983
2025-06-29 2.183649 4.930669 9.965039 19.286458 35.342859 60.874683 103.165678
2025-07-06 1.773691 4.287545 9.133760 18.486124 35.167712 62.474335 108.856915
2025-07-13 1.666024 4.237175 9.382445 19.616307 38.335593 69.620397 123.718277
2025-07-20 1.556403 4.160805 9.565553 20.632969 41.369966 76.716321 138.876846
2025-07-27 1.371139 3.900924 9.392105 21.043932 43.521861 82.754118 153.153304
2025-08-03 1.162883 3.545446 8.978937 20.962629 44.816461 87.514272 165.783904
2025-08-10 0.965505 3.165456 8.446209 20.563023 45.459131 91.165751 176.751038
2025-08-17 0.797830 2.816293 7.917177 20.089292 45.888888 94.434521 187.220130
2025-08-24 0.657658 2.502187 7.409948 19.583987 46.184263 97.445343 197.376418
2025-08-31 0.518174 2.143649 6.721056 18.563977 45.300190 98.149968 203.355408
2025-09-07 0.477665 2.091073 6.809827 19.362272 48.311676 106.487649 223.867995
2025-09-14 0.424713 1.979705 6.720628 19.718629 50.393821 113.137358 241.568819
2025-09-21 0.354552 1.781622 6.351674 19.331459 50.792166 116.465615 253.129046
2025-09-28 0.284336 1.554594 5.849902 18.529509 50.163614 117.659392 260.611489
2025-10-05 0.273230 1.566381 6.073114 19.661972 54.102681 128.462767 287.456730